Telling a fan of an NFL team to bet with their head and not with their heart is good advice, but you may as well be telling a Juggalo to stop drinking liters of Faygo. The heart wants what it wants and the head will follow accordingly. Detroit Lions fans embody that to the fullest degree. The Lions consistently draw heavy betting action that kicks off the moment their season win totals and division winner odds are released. Nearly 45% of BetMGM bettors who placed wagers on which team would win the NFC North this year put their money on Detroit to restore the roar.

While they failed to win their division, Dan Campbell’s team has been rewarding spread bettors throughout the season. Only two teams have a better record against the spread than the Lions, who have covered in 10 of their 15 games. That’s a nice profit for anyone who’s backing Detroit on a weekly basis, but it’s not even close to the best bet you could be making in Lions games. For that, we’ll have to look to one of my favorite game props offered at BetMGM.

“How many yards will the shortest touchdown in the game be?”

The beauty of this game prop is that it’s a static line — “over 1.5 yards” is always set at -110 and “under 1.5 yards” is always juiced at -125, regardless of which teams are playing each other or what the expected point total is.

When I wrote about this early last NFL season, I uncovered the key formula to finding a team that cashes the under on this prop at a profitable rate (greater than 55.6%)….